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VOL. 8, ISSUE 2 (2026)
Survival analysis and risk factors associated with mortality in breeding goats: A case study from Maidabino Farms, Katsina, Nigeria
Authors
Suleiman Dayyabu Kurfi
Abstract
Goat mortality is one of the most pressing constraints on small-ruminant production in Nigeria, with significant implications for food security, household income, and rural livelihoods. In northern Nigeria, where smallholder agropastoral systems predominate, goat breeding serves as a critical economic and nutritional resource; however, farm-level documentation of mortality patterns and their determinants remains sparse. This study assessed survival patterns and identified key risk factors for mortality among breeding goats at Darul Halal Farms in Katsina, Nigeria. A retrospective observational design was employed, utilising farm health records spanning September to November 2024. Data on disease occurrence, daily morbidity, and mortality counts, as well as sex, species, and breed, were systematically extracted and analysed. Diagnoses were established through clinical examination, post-mortem findings, and confirmatory laboratory testing, while the morbidity percentage was calculated as the number of affected animals divided by the total flock size. A total of 27 mortalities were recorded across 13 discrete disease events over the nine-week observation period, with daily deaths ranging from 1 to 4 animals and morbidity percentages spanning 3.70% to 14.81%. The most frequently encountered conditions were conjunctivitis and enteritis, each recorded on seven occasions, followed by foot rot (five events), contagious ecthyma or Orf (four events), traumatic injuries (three events), pneumonia (two events), and single occurrences of mastitis and miscarriage. The peak morbidity event of 14.81% occurred on 06/10/2024 during a foot rot outbreak, with additional peaks of 11.11% in October and November associated with multi-system mixed infections. Mortality in the flock resulted from a multifactorial interplay of infectious, environmental, and management-related challenges, with seasonal clustering of high-morbidity events in October suggesting a temporal pattern requiring pre-emptive intervention. Improved housing sanitation, structured vaccination programmes, strategic anthelmintic treatment, and enhanced nutritional management are strongly recommended to reduce preventable mortality and improve productivity in comparable breeding goat operations across northern Nigeria.
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Pages:42-45
How to cite this article:
Suleiman Dayyabu Kurfi "Survival analysis and risk factors associated with mortality in breeding goats: A case study from Maidabino Farms, Katsina, Nigeria ". International Journal of Agriculture and Plant Science, Vol 8, Issue 2, 2026, Pages 42-45
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