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VOL. 7, ISSUE 4 (2025)

Growth and instability in cotton cultivation in punjab

Authors

Gursewak Singh

Abstract

Cotton holds a paramount position as a commercial crop in India, particularly in the agricultural landscape of Punjab, where it is revered as ‘white gold’. Cotton, often referred to as the "King of Fiber" crops, holds significant importance in both the global agricultural and industrial economies. In light of its relevance, this paper explores the growth and fluctuations in cotton cultivation in Punjab over the time period from 1994-95 to 2023-24. The study utilized secondary data regarding the Production, area, and yield of cotton. The performance of cotton cultivation is assessed using two key parameters: growth and instability. To estimate the compound annual growth rate, a log-linear model is applied to the data on cotton production, area and yield. The model was estimated using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. The growth instability was evaluated using the Cuddy-Della Valle instability Index.

The analysis revealed a negative compound annual growth rate for both cotton production and the area under cultivation, while the growth rate for cotton yield showed a positive trend during the period under study. In Punjab, the area devoted to cotton cultivation exhibited relatively low instability, whereas production and yield demonstrated significantly higher levels of instability.

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Pages:71-77

How to cite this article:

Gursewak Singh "Growth and instability in cotton cultivation in punjab". International Journal of Agriculture and Plant Science, Vol 7, Issue 4, 2025, Pages 71-77

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